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he could get there with a combination of two small states in the west, nevada and colorado would put him at 272 so he has two distinct paths right now to 270 electoral votes, something that mitt romney does not have right now, matt dowd. >> absolutely true. he can lose ohio, virginia and florida and still win by carrying colorado and nevada and that's the situation. they've been in this situation for weeks and now unfolding tonight just as i say as if the obama campaign had said they thought it would. they said they thought it would unfold this way, preserve the midwest, still win ohio and the biggest county out still only 20% of this county is in, cuyahoga county, only 20% in, that's cleveland and that gave barack obama a margin of 300,000 votes in that one county and that county is still 80% out. >> donna brazile, let's talk about iowa a little bit because that is where we first saw the power of this barack obama ground game. >> i'll never forget that. january 3rd, clinton and by the way we haven't mentioned bill clinton tonight. when i look at this map tonight, pennsylvania, wisco
he could get there with a combination of two small states in the west, nevada and colorado would put him at 272 so he has two distinct paths right now to 270 electoral votes, something that mitt romney does not have right now, matt dowd. >> absolutely true. he can lose ohio, virginia and florida and still win by carrying colorado and nevada and that's the situation. they've been in this situation for weeks and now unfolding tonight just as i say as if the obama campaign had said they...
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Nov 6, 2012
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if you look at ohio, if you look at wisconsin, if you look at nevada, if you look at iowa, the president has been consist eventually in the lead there. and romney basically has to run the table to even have a shot. >> but the republican argument, ari, which was the john kerry argument, which has always been the argument in these situations, is when the incumbent polls below 50, the incumbent is in danger no matter what the other number is. so if the incumbent is at 48, the challenger is at 46, the challenger is probably in a better position, most of the time. however, we're making new mathematical history in these campaigns all the time. and you can see that argument, because it's an old argument. it's been around a while. it didn't work for john kerry and it's hard to say what's going to happen now. >> yeah. i spent over a year working seven days a week for john kerry so i'm familiar with that argument, i remember that argument. i think the critical question then as now is whether the challenger is viewed to be credible by election day. if you look at polling of a generic republican ver
if you look at ohio, if you look at wisconsin, if you look at nevada, if you look at iowa, the president has been consist eventually in the lead there. and romney basically has to run the table to even have a shot. >> but the republican argument, ari, which was the john kerry argument, which has always been the argument in these situations, is when the incumbent polls below 50, the incumbent is in danger no matter what the other number is. so if the incumbent is at 48, the challenger is...
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Nov 4, 2012
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>>> no solo creo que va a salir a votar, estoy viÉndolo, porque he estado en colorado, nevada, mi estado aquÍ de california, la florida, y veo que el latino busca ser parte de este proceso, y contar y creo que el voto latino va a ser el voto decisivo como lo dijo el presidente barack obama puede ser el voto que determina quiÉn va a ser no solo el presidente de los estados unidos sino la persona mÁs poderosa de este mundo. hemos escuchado que el presidente estÁ hablando de la prioridad del partido demÓcrata de Él como presidente, empleos, mÁs empleos, cinco punto cinco millones de nuevos empleos, los republicanos nunca mencionan eso, que es lo que hemos logrado en Últimos dos aÑos y medio, en eso quiere avanzar Él, quiere avanzar en la reforma migratoria que no ha tenido apoyo, y quiere tambiÉn avanzar la reforma histÓrica del cuidado mÉdico que pronto va a darle a nueve millÓns de latinos acceso a un cuidado mÉdico de calidad. >>> y congresista sobre el tema migratorio porque lo dice usted, es muy importante, la realidad es que despuÉs de elecciÓn del 2010 habÍan poco r
>>> no solo creo que va a salir a votar, estoy viÉndolo, porque he estado en colorado, nevada, mi estado aquÍ de california, la florida, y veo que el latino busca ser parte de este proceso, y contar y creo que el voto latino va a ser el voto decisivo como lo dijo el presidente barack obama puede ser el voto que determina quiÉn va a ser no solo el presidente de los estados unidos sino la persona mÁs poderosa de este mundo. hemos escuchado que el presidente estÁ hablando de la...
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Nov 7, 2012
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one race where that may be is nevada. dean heller is facing democratic representative shelly berkeley. dan springer is live at the heller elects -- heller election headquarters in las vegas. what do we know at this hour? >> jaime, it is empty here because the republicans all wept home. went home. this was supposed to be a battle ground state. it didn't turn out that way. president obama carried nevada by over 6%. a lot of people split their vote today. we jus word that dean heller who is the republican who was running for the senate has won his race against shelly berkeley. this was his first try for the senate because he was the incumbent that was appointed when john enson had to resign in disgrace from a sex scandal. heller retains his seat. he wins his first election. this was not supposed to be as close as it was. it was only a point and a half separating the two, about 12,000 votes. but it was very close because as you just mentioned we saw a huge minority population, a huge young people vote here. hispanics came out
one race where that may be is nevada. dean heller is facing democratic representative shelly berkeley. dan springer is live at the heller elects -- heller election headquarters in las vegas. what do we know at this hour? >> jaime, it is empty here because the republicans all wept home. went home. this was supposed to be a battle ground state. it didn't turn out that way. president obama carried nevada by over 6%. a lot of people split their vote today. we jus word that dean heller who is...
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Nov 19, 2012
11/12
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republican lance gilman the newly elected county commissioner of nevada's storey county happens to be the owner of mustang ranch. that's right, the infamous brothel out there. nevada, just to clear things up, is the only state with legalized prostitution and gilman just game the first such owner to make his way to winning an election of public office. according to the county xhish ler elect himself, people want to focus on the brothel issue. i have had a wonderful 43 year record of business success that i bring to the commission. it is kind of a hard issue to ignore. gilman by the way calls himself a dyed in the wool republican who loves american values. >>> finally, last week steve schmidt said on meet the press that a lot of swing voters think of the republican party as one of loons and wackos. mike murphy, another republican strategist just weighed in on "meet the press." here he is. >> this is an existential crisis for the republican party and we have to have a brutal discussion about it. we alienate young voters because of gay marriage, we alienate hispanics and we've lost our co
republican lance gilman the newly elected county commissioner of nevada's storey county happens to be the owner of mustang ranch. that's right, the infamous brothel out there. nevada, just to clear things up, is the only state with legalized prostitution and gilman just game the first such owner to make his way to winning an election of public office. according to the county xhish ler elect himself, people want to focus on the brothel issue. i have had a wonderful 43 year record of business...
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Nov 6, 2012
11/12
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por ejemplo en nevada creciÓ mÁs de cien% en la Última dÉcadas, en las vegas carlos botifoll telemundo. >>> el presidente o bobama jugo raro baloncesto en chicago como parte de ritual. >>> como un maratonista el presidente obama estÁ dando todas sus energÍas en la recta final de la cerrada contienda electoral con el fin de triunfar sobre la mayor prueba de fuego de su carrera polÍtica. en wiscousin dijo ustedes saben que yo les hablo con la verdad, lucharÉ para defender a sus familias. para dlaepts paadelante para ar mires para atrÁs. >>> quienes se ha mostrado con obama es una muestra para motivar a que salgan a votar, esta vez en los estados claves como ohio, florida y colorado cada voto es una diferencia de victoria y derrota >>> si el presidente gana ha ganado gracias al apoyo del votante de las minorÍas, gracias a loafroamericanos y latinos >>> pero erika dice que contrario hace 4 aÑos esta vez respaldarÁ al republicano >>> por quiÉn votastvotaste? >>> por romney >>> por quÉ >>> por quiere pro vida >>> pero en chicago se sienten frustrados porque no hub representante >>>
por ejemplo en nevada creciÓ mÁs de cien% en la Última dÉcadas, en las vegas carlos botifoll telemundo. >>> el presidente o bobama jugo raro baloncesto en chicago como parte de ritual. >>> como un maratonista el presidente obama estÁ dando todas sus energÍas en la recta final de la cerrada contienda electoral con el fin de triunfar sobre la mayor prueba de fuego de su carrera polÍtica. en wiscousin dijo ustedes saben que yo les hablo con la verdad, lucharÉ para...
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Nov 5, 2012
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i think we all have nevada going blue? >> yes. >> remarkably, we all agree on something. >> we all agree on nevada. >> never happened before. >> yeah. i have it going blue because primarily because of early voting. early voting in nevada has 48,000 more democrats than republicans going to the polls in early voting, casting 700,000 votes. if projections go as planned and they get an 80% turnout, that means 70% of the votes have already been cast there. so me, that seems a pretty good indication of where this state is going. i'll give sail ver lia silver l mitt romney, and that is a lot like colorado. nevada has a very high mormon population. 7%, which is actually fairly high, and again, mormons accounted for a quarter of the electorate in the caucuses. so i think if they turn out in big numbers and it's been really hard to tell where they're at, because they haven't been very vocal, but if they turn out in big numbers, i think mitt romney could get the state. i don't expect him to. >> i would expect him to turn out in big n
i think we all have nevada going blue? >> yes. >> remarkably, we all agree on something. >> we all agree on nevada. >> never happened before. >> yeah. i have it going blue because primarily because of early voting. early voting in nevada has 48,000 more democrats than republicans going to the polls in early voting, casting 700,000 votes. if projections go as planned and they get an 80% turnout, that means 70% of the votes have already been cast there. so me, that...
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Nov 2, 2012
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. >> reporter: finally, we know nevada. that is where republican congressman paul ryan told supporters the federal budget ends det -- and debt are looming threats for the country's future. >> we need to balance this budget. we need to get the debt under control. we have a moral obligation for the children and grandchildren to make sure they get a debt- free nation and not the one the president has in front of them. they will decide who is president the next four years. today on the trail, november 2nd, 2012. we'll bring in mark, our fox 5 political analyst. the job markets out now, they're a step in the right direction. the republicans spinning this is not good enough. how big of a difference can this make this close to the election? >> it didn't hurt the president. 171,000 jobs, that is edition, .1 of 1% unemployment went up. they didn't want to go over 8%. it's a on you wash overra -- awash, overall, he escaped ominous terrible figures. >> talk about independent voters. so much is made about it the last few months. do you
. >> reporter: finally, we know nevada. that is where republican congressman paul ryan told supporters the federal budget ends det -- and debt are looming threats for the country's future. >> we need to balance this budget. we need to get the debt under control. we have a moral obligation for the children and grandchildren to make sure they get a debt- free nation and not the one the president has in front of them. they will decide who is president the next four years. today on the...
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Nov 10, 2012
11/12
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another democrat was elected in nevada. the first time there is an african-american serving in congress from nevada. in district 3 in ohio, the second black woman in congress from ohio. in texas, district 33, and now texas has four black house members from texas. there are a couple of races that have not been called yet. one in arizona in the ninth district. there is a black republican candidate named vernon parker, who is running only a couple of thousand votes behind his opponent. all of the ballots have not been tallied and it is a possibility this person, he is behind by 2000 points but there's a possibility this person could be elected i do have to mention alan west. alan west right now is about 2300 votes behind his opponent. he is running in a different district and he ran in s. as you can tell by the results from florida, president obama's campaign made a big effort to turn out their voters, and i don't think president obama's voters were in fact going to vote for alan west while they were at the polls. alan west ma
another democrat was elected in nevada. the first time there is an african-american serving in congress from nevada. in district 3 in ohio, the second black woman in congress from ohio. in texas, district 33, and now texas has four black house members from texas. there are a couple of races that have not been called yet. one in arizona in the ninth district. there is a black republican candidate named vernon parker, who is running only a couple of thousand votes behind his opponent. all of the...
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i know it takes iowa and nevada. here it is. there it is. >> iowa, nevada have to get in there and we've got five more somewhere else. it's the swap of colorado. is it that? well. >> where do you have new hampshire? i can't see from here? >> we'll have to figure it out. it was off. this is what happens when we're missing it. the math is there. >> we'll take a break, we know it's there, the math is there. 269/269s. >> that's a nightmare. >> some say we'll be spending a lot of good times. >> here it is. that's what we're missing here. new hampshire over to there. >> new hampshire. >> and then we have it. >> thank you so much, chuck. >> bye now. >> chuck and the magic map. up next, mayor antonio villaraigosa in florida today, and house majority leader eric cantor from virginia, live from democracy plaza only here on msnbc. [ female announcer ] the humana walmart-preferred rx plan p-d-p gives you a low national plan premium... so you can focus on what really matters. call humana at 1-800-808-4003. colin powell: yes. when he took ove
i know it takes iowa and nevada. here it is. there it is. >> iowa, nevada have to get in there and we've got five more somewhere else. it's the swap of colorado. is it that? well. >> where do you have new hampshire? i can't see from here? >> we'll have to figure it out. it was off. this is what happens when we're missing it. the math is there. >> we'll take a break, we know it's there, the math is there. 269/269s. >> that's a nightmare. >> some say we'll be...
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Nov 8, 2012
11/12
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parar de vientos , tenga mucho cuidado las advertencias imagínese niveles tan bajo la presencia de nevadas así que cuiado por que se va a sentír el cambio temperaturas , en los 48 grados , santa rosa , en los 41 comienza a descender las temperaturas , posibilidades de que se prtesentes' . >>> lluvias , pero cielos despejados ,así que pasa este sistema con algo de viento úpòr que la humedad regresa a la región buenas noches que descanse ya regresamos . . >>> (♪ ♪) . >>> parece que las chivas no quieren extranjeros pasamos con los deportes . >>> hola amigos que tal estamos en acción diferida , se cumplió el sorteo para el hexagonal final , y aquí está la actividad de mexico , el 22 de marzo contra hundoras , después contra estados unidos 7 de junio ante panama 11 con costa rica , en otro tema le hablamos de la mls por que los angeles galaxy , le dio vuelta el partido y està en la siguiente , fase de los play-offs vamos a la liga mexicana , monterrey ante toluca humberto suazo pone el 1 , después , rodríguez pone el empate , después benitez pone el 2 a 1 para toluca y con m
parar de vientos , tenga mucho cuidado las advertencias imagínese niveles tan bajo la presencia de nevadas así que cuiado por que se va a sentír el cambio temperaturas , en los 48 grados , santa rosa , en los 41 comienza a descender las temperaturas , posibilidades de que se prtesentes' . >>> lluvias , pero cielos despejados ,así que pasa este sistema con algo de viento úpòr que la humedad regresa a la región buenas noches que descanse ya regresamos . . >>> (♪ ♪) ....
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the unemployment rate in key battleground states -- states like florida as well as nevada and colorado are above the national average but other key swing states like iowa or ohio are below the national average. now the big question remains -- are voters still frustrated. >> companies held more workers in october. >> unemployment is higher today than when barack obama took office. think of that. >> reporter: there's good news and bad news. the candidates are trying to convince -- spinet numbers. >> this was another busy day on the campaign trail. take us through some of the highlights from today. >> reporter: earlier today mitt romney spoke in wisconsin and he called this his closing argument. >> words are cheap. a record is real and it's earned. real change is not measured in words. real change is measured in achiefments and four years ago candidate obama promised so very much but he's fallen. >> reporter: as for the president he argues it comes down to trust. >> you may be frustrated sometimes by the pace of change but you know what i believe. you know where i stand. you know i tell t
the unemployment rate in key battleground states -- states like florida as well as nevada and colorado are above the national average but other key swing states like iowa or ohio are below the national average. now the big question remains -- are voters still frustrated. >> companies held more workers in october. >> unemployment is higher today than when barack obama took office. think of that. >> reporter: there's good news and bad news. the candidates are trying to convince...
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iowa and nevada, we too close to call. for all of iowa's six electoral votes, they campaign my crazy nonstate. lou: this is a tough battle. it is always nice for these challengers against the incumbents. a tough uphill work in the best of times. they are running against very clever political operation in the obama campaign. neil: utah such a mormon stronghold. the romney has very strong ties in that state. his family has strong ties. no surprise that utah kids that way. orrin hatch was one who did resist a tea tea party insurgent. this would be his seventh term. lou: such a remarkably able u.s. senator. neil: he moved a lot of positions, he moved gingerly to the right, he cornered his tea party opponent and the winner of the republican primary. that is a seat that stays in republican hands. it could mean that republicans and in worse shape than what we think. lou: given what we have seen, i am not surprised -- in missouri and indiana, this is a campaign organization. let's be straight forward. the strategy was sometimes in
iowa and nevada, we too close to call. for all of iowa's six electoral votes, they campaign my crazy nonstate. lou: this is a tough battle. it is always nice for these challengers against the incumbents. a tough uphill work in the best of times. they are running against very clever political operation in the obama campaign. neil: utah such a mormon stronghold. the romney has very strong ties in that state. his family has strong ties. no surprise that utah kids that way. orrin hatch was one who...
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Nov 1, 2012
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the president heading out west to wisconsin, on the way to colorado and nevada. what do they do the next few days and what does it tell us about where they chose to travel on the few days remain something. >> there was a front-page story in the new york times. i think it's -- in terms of the latino vote. the president leads by 50 points and their idea is in colorado and nevada, a state which david axlerod said they would definitely win and a large latino vote in central florida, which is, when i was in the convention, tampa, the puerto ricans, not cuban americans, they want to draw the vote out. they know they're getting clobbered among white voters and this is about 36%. it's interesting that he's going to those states where there is heavy latino populations. they have to make sure that those people who are for obama come out and vote for him. >> fox 5 political analyst mark plotkin. we thank you as always. brian, campaign event cancelled last week by the omagh bama campaign is rescheduled for saturday in prince williams, virginia. >> you heard the race for the
the president heading out west to wisconsin, on the way to colorado and nevada. what do they do the next few days and what does it tell us about where they chose to travel on the few days remain something. >> there was a front-page story in the new york times. i think it's -- in terms of the latino vote. the president leads by 50 points and their idea is in colorado and nevada, a state which david axlerod said they would definitely win and a large latino vote in central florida, which is,...
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he could also get nevada or iowa. that's one, two, three, four, five, six states he would have to win if he loses ohio. >> how many of those six states is he behind today according to the poll? >> well, of course he's -- it's tied in virginia. he's behind in wisconsin. tied in new hampshire. he's ahead in north carolina. nevada and iowa, which would be crucial to that last piece, tied in colorado. >> which is why the governor is going to ohio today. he's going to northern ohio, cleveland, and then he's going to western pennsylvania, which is covered in southern ohio. so the pennsylvania visit is not so much about pennsylvania. it is a little bit about it, but it's about getting both media markets at the top and bottom of ohio. >> how common is it to campaign on election day and how effective is it? >> remember al gore in 2000. al gore went all around this country campaigning at the very last minute. george w. bush took that day off and the day before largely off. al gore's late surge made that a very close election, a
he could also get nevada or iowa. that's one, two, three, four, five, six states he would have to win if he loses ohio. >> how many of those six states is he behind today according to the poll? >> well, of course he's -- it's tied in virginia. he's behind in wisconsin. tied in new hampshire. he's ahead in north carolina. nevada and iowa, which would be crucial to that last piece, tied in colorado. >> which is why the governor is going to ohio today. he's going to northern...
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Nov 4, 2012
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who is actually showing up, who is casting ballots, and, states like ohio, iowa, nevada, florida, we're doing very, very well. what they are doing is comparing this to 2008, and you and i have had the discussion. i am not suggesting we will win by the same margin we won in 2008. and, they are comparing themselves to john mccain, who had virtually no ground operation in many of these states, so, yes, they will do better than john mccain did and we may not do as well as we did in 2008, but, we are doing plenty well and well enough to win the race. >> chris: let me ask you, briefly, about florida, where president obama is down by more than a point, in the polls. and yet you are making your final advertising by the campaign there. in florida. why not in the state you must win? >> well, first of all, we feel very competitive in the state of florida. there have been a spate of polls, in fact in all of these polls, battle ground state polls that came out the last 48 hours, we are ahead in 90% of them, including florida. and there were a couple of mixed polls in florida, but we are very pleased
who is actually showing up, who is casting ballots, and, states like ohio, iowa, nevada, florida, we're doing very, very well. what they are doing is comparing this to 2008, and you and i have had the discussion. i am not suggesting we will win by the same margin we won in 2008. and, they are comparing themselves to john mccain, who had virtually no ground operation in many of these states, so, yes, they will do better than john mccain did and we may not do as well as we did in 2008, but, we...
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Nov 8, 2012
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nevada, definitely. the right in the country and especially the ultraconservatives in the republican party had pushed african-americans and hispanics together. they have a politics where sort of a nasty bragg adagio -- braggodacio, if you watch the primaries, where you have to be slashed and burned and how you attack your enemies, that gary masters not go over with -- a very much does not go over with hispanics. some of the things that were said -- i have spoken to a while now and latino pollster about this. -- well known latino pollster about this. he said a white person has friends and extended family that number family8. as hispanic person has that number at about 50. if you are a slash and burn person, that is your style, you are not going to go over well with latinos. african americans and latinos have been pushed together. if you look at it in class terms, african-americans, the largest proportion of african americans and latinos are working class and have similar interests in terms of government.
nevada, definitely. the right in the country and especially the ultraconservatives in the republican party had pushed african-americans and hispanics together. they have a politics where sort of a nasty bragg adagio -- braggodacio, if you watch the primaries, where you have to be slashed and burned and how you attack your enemies, that gary masters not go over with -- a very much does not go over with hispanics. some of the things that were said -- i have spoken to a while now and latino...
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. >> what part of nevada are you from? >> we're from australia. >> nevada is a swing state, but colorado is also a swing state. are you getting inundated with ads. >> oh my gosh. it's horrible. >> does it make you more engaged in the process or less. >> less. i turn the station now. i'm not even watching the tv now. i don't want to hear it we got to catch the bus. >> not a good time if you're in vegas. >> i have another headache from my holiday costume. have you seen that show britney and abby? they were conjoined. i was that, britney and abby. i had an extra head. >> who do you think is ahead. >> romney all the way. >> why? >> obama is not the biggest fan here. >> of gambling? >> no, obama is just--nobody likes him here. >> the odds are-- >> they don't like him over here. >> yet you're in agreement. >> i don't like him either. >> how come? >> he sucks. he has ruined the economy in in the last four years basically. he needs to go. >> it's funny to make fun of conjoined twins. >> selma hayek. >> let me ask you a question ab
. >> what part of nevada are you from? >> we're from australia. >> nevada is a swing state, but colorado is also a swing state. are you getting inundated with ads. >> oh my gosh. it's horrible. >> does it make you more engaged in the process or less. >> less. i turn the station now. i'm not even watching the tv now. i don't want to hear it we got to catch the bus. >> not a good time if you're in vegas. >> i have another headache from my holiday...
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Nov 7, 2012
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we are watching results from the states where the polls just closed moments ago including iowa and nevada and of course we are keeping a close eye on the other crucial battleground states including florida, ohio and virginia closing right now, iowa, montana, utah and idaho. both presidential candidates settled in to watch the results as they come in tonight. president barack obama has been in chicago all day. mitt romney want to boston this morning to cast his vote before flying out for more campaigning. we have team coverage on the two candidates. we go to the president supporters in chicago. we begin though, with rita williams with romney supporters in boston. [cheers and applause] >> well, mitt romney senior strategist took to the stage to ref up the crowd. no real news but you can see the crowd here is beginning to grow. meanwhile, i am told that mitt romney is across the street in a hotel room with his wife, ann, his five sons, 16 of his 18 grandchildren. but right before he went in there he had one last thing to say about this long campaign. >> i am very pleased. i feel like we put
we are watching results from the states where the polls just closed moments ago including iowa and nevada and of course we are keeping a close eye on the other crucial battleground states including florida, ohio and virginia closing right now, iowa, montana, utah and idaho. both presidential candidates settled in to watch the results as they come in tonight. president barack obama has been in chicago all day. mitt romney want to boston this morning to cast his vote before flying out for more...
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Nov 6, 2012
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we're going to win nevada. we're going to win new hampshire. i think we have an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> check those numbers, what do you make of those states? is that a good list? >> i think the ceiling is somewhere 300, 303 if you want to be exact the numbers i've done. if you throw in north carolina it could be 318 max. that's possible. they could all be 51, 49 at the end of the day. i do want to say i think a lot of us, we're sort of victims of 2004. before 2004 we were all more convinced of the challenger incumbent rule. that somehow challengers always got the undecided and then a tie goes to the challenger. then you're happened when bush won frankly as many of the undecided as he did. then you'd have to go back to '76 the last time the person with momentum lost at the end. lost the popular vote. that was ford. ford had the momentum but carter won in the end. even gore, he had the last-second momentum. he did win the popular vote. having the momentum has it in the
we're going to win nevada. we're going to win new hampshire. i think we have an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> check those numbers, what do you make of those states? is that a good list? >> i think the ceiling is somewhere 300, 303 if you want to be exact the numbers i've done. if you throw in north carolina it could be 318 max. that's possible. they could all be 51, 49 at the end of the day. i do want to say i...
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Nov 26, 2012
11/12
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nevada's dean heller was the only to win in a blue state in the 2012 cycle. he narrow will he won over shelly berkeley despite the president winning the state by six. they have a none of the above. susan collins was the only other senator on the list to face voters while president obama was on the ballot. she won her third it term in 2008. the other seven were all elected or re-elected in the big republican wave of 2010. could republicans take back some of that territory in 2014 is this joining me now political analyst and editor and publisher of the cook political report, charlie cook. charlie, we have a senate announcement today. this is happenstance. we planned this last week and we can talk about 2014 and jay rockefeller. >> at least shelly capito had the decency to wait until after thanksgiving. >> mike brown announced two weeks ago he was running in 2014. >> see, i wasn't paying attention then. >> fair enough. is this all chalked up to bad recruiting by the republicans, the success rate? >> i think what we've seen is two cycles in a row of very disappoi
nevada's dean heller was the only to win in a blue state in the 2012 cycle. he narrow will he won over shelly berkeley despite the president winning the state by six. they have a none of the above. susan collins was the only other senator on the list to face voters while president obama was on the ballot. she won her third it term in 2008. the other seven were all elected or re-elected in the big republican wave of 2010. could republicans take back some of that territory in 2014 is this joining...
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states and different surveys of those battleground states president obama is holding small advantages in nevada ohio iowa and wisconsin i guess we have to explain to our international viewers why is it that we're talking about valid ground battleground states all the time because not all votes are equal in the us india like to a college system some votes are never counted it's a winner take all system where if a candidate loses a state they get zero alike troll votes from that state doesn't matter how many people voted for them in that state i was at a coffee shop this morning talking to people as i often do and there was a young man a democrat from texas who voted for president obama by mail having requested an absentee ballot he went to all the people who work knowing perfectly well that he's vote would not be counted because the state of texas is a solid red state that is republican so all democrat votes there don't count at all in the electoral college president obama will get zero electoral votes from texas and there was another young man in a similar situation telling me how much he would
states and different surveys of those battleground states president obama is holding small advantages in nevada ohio iowa and wisconsin i guess we have to explain to our international viewers why is it that we're talking about valid ground battleground states all the time because not all votes are equal in the us india like to a college system some votes are never counted it's a winner take all system where if a candidate loses a state they get zero alike troll votes from that state doesn't...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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same is true in states across the country like nevada and iowa and north carolina. we have over 300,000 voters advantage from early voting. our ground game is paying off. that is what i'm confident we're going to when a florida. -- win of florida. in the panhandle is where republicans typically runs stronger. lee county in southwest florida. just by way of example, in republican strongholds like that, there were more democrats that cast ballots even though there were double-digit registration advantages. >> is there one county that is a bellwether for you in florida that you will be watching tuesday? >> the i-4 in general is typically how the state will go. it'll be the first factor. with record turnout in hillsborough county. that is the western end of the i-4 quarter. we are feeling really good about the direction that this election is taking in florida. we win florida. president obama will be reelected president of the united states. >> president obama is going to be in florida for the last time before the election day today. i was just in florida. i was doing so
same is true in states across the country like nevada and iowa and north carolina. we have over 300,000 voters advantage from early voting. our ground game is paying off. that is what i'm confident we're going to when a florida. -- win of florida. in the panhandle is where republicans typically runs stronger. lee county in southwest florida. just by way of example, in republican strongholds like that, there were more democrats that cast ballots even though there were double-digit registration...
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Nov 7, 2012
11/12
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iowa and nevada are too early to call. in florida at least an hour wait in line at already closed polls still lies ahead for some voters. democrats picking up three additional seats. republicans are projected to retain control. >> let's get to john harwood with a look at where we stand in the map room. >> we're still awaiting the seven swing states. florida and the state of virginia are both extremely close races. if president obama wins the state of florida, the race is over. but mitt romney is very, very much in that game. he needs to win florida, north carolina, and virginia and also win the state of ohio to get from where he is now, he's on track now to win 191 electoral votes. president obama is in line for 251. we're going to have to wait until more votes are counted before we know who gets there. >> >> your thoughts of where we stand and what this means for the economy. >> what you have is, of course, what we do know is that the republicans will hold on to the house of representatives. that the ve increase in the nu
iowa and nevada are too early to call. in florida at least an hour wait in line at already closed polls still lies ahead for some voters. democrats picking up three additional seats. republicans are projected to retain control. >> let's get to john harwood with a look at where we stand in the map room. >> we're still awaiting the seven swing states. florida and the state of virginia are both extremely close races. if president obama wins the state of florida, the race is over. but...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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nevada is probably almost gone. and the way that the demographics have shifted in nevada this may be the last election where nevada is really in play for republicans. there's also an interesting thing that happened there on the ground. ron paul supporters sort of took over the republican party in nevada and kind of destroyed it in a way. the groundwork there is really poor for the republican party to the extent that the idaho republican party has actually been sending mail into the state. that's how bad it is. >> so why is mitt romney going to pennsylvania? >> well, i think he's looking at the fact that he can't win in ohio, he's behind there. even his people are sort of acknowledging that that's falling off the map. he has to either win in wisconsin which is also looking very much out of reach. or he has to figure out some other path of pennsylvania. i don't think it's credible but he's trying to do at least a head fake to figure out you some other path to get there. >> jonathan, to you. you might have thought that
nevada is probably almost gone. and the way that the demographics have shifted in nevada this may be the last election where nevada is really in play for republicans. there's also an interesting thing that happened there on the ground. ron paul supporters sort of took over the republican party in nevada and kind of destroyed it in a way. the groundwork there is really poor for the republican party to the extent that the idaho republican party has actually been sending mail into the state....
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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nevada, all the polls have the president lead bug it is close. same thing in wisconsin. president is ahead in all the polls except rasmussen, who has the race tied at 49. florida, all the policy out this week has obama leading romney, but very close. and in the commonwealth, up 5 points but cbs has the president up by two. north carolina, rasmussen has romney up by 6 and survey usa has the governor leading by 5. new hampshire, new england college has obama up by 6 over mitt romney. last week rasmussen had romney up by 2. and nbc has the president up by 6 points. got all that? joining us now from boston, david. he directs polling. >> he want to run it down from your point of view. you have canvassed the whole country, know what's going on. ohio, how do you see it? >> i see it really close. if you look at the last four polls, it's one point. 1 through 8 the poll was average four to five points. what we look at is the head-to-head number. the last three consecutive polls, excluding the two you mentioned were at 48. that's a sign of vulnerability. obviously you have seven ca
nevada, all the polls have the president lead bug it is close. same thing in wisconsin. president is ahead in all the polls except rasmussen, who has the race tied at 49. florida, all the policy out this week has obama leading romney, but very close. and in the commonwealth, up 5 points but cbs has the president up by two. north carolina, rasmussen has romney up by 6 and survey usa has the governor leading by 5. new hampshire, new england college has obama up by 6 over mitt romney. last week...
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the president in states like ohio, or seen as a couple point lead in tricky states like wisconsin and nevada and places like that, and yet when you look at the national numbers, you see a much more murky situation. what's the difference? >> well, the difference is that it turns out that white working class voters in the midwest and the industrial midwest are different from white working class voters in the south. with jim messina and stagg about why they don't care about national numbers. the first thing if you look at the deep south, and appalachia, places where there's a lot of resistance to the president, he's polling below -- he's polling 25%, 30%, the -- those really, really red states, in the blue states, the president like where he's far ahead he's ahead by 10 or 12 points and in the red states by 30 or 40 points. chris: the red states, it's like a ballooning up of the national number. but it doesn't really hurt him electorally. >> that's the point. the national polling organizations like gallup, especially, which had romney ahead by five or circumstances points before they had -- six
the president in states like ohio, or seen as a couple point lead in tricky states like wisconsin and nevada and places like that, and yet when you look at the national numbers, you see a much more murky situation. what's the difference? >> well, the difference is that it turns out that white working class voters in the midwest and the industrial midwest are different from white working class voters in the south. with jim messina and stagg about why they don't care about national numbers....
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Nov 5, 2012
11/12
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>> wisconsin or nevada. i know that nevada is going to be very close, the democrats have got even about the base number that they need for a lead in early voting, but republican enthusiasm as am in the cow counties is high. it's going to be a narrow victory for either side. i think the most likely is nevada and wisconsin. bill: what is the likely scenario for the president? he's going to three different states today. he's at 201, okay. so if he were to go to wisconsin, ohio, and iowa just today, so give him wisconsin, iowa, and the state of ohio, he's at 237. so on the remaining map here you see these strategies in the final moments now and where they pick and where they go and the reasons why. say the president were to pick pennsylvania, he's at 255. and so now at this moment based on this scenario and all the polling we have seen maybe he takes michigan. that would be enough to get him to 271. >> this shows the centrality of ohio. i don't think he's going to carry ohio. i've been food link on th7,000 democ
>> wisconsin or nevada. i know that nevada is going to be very close, the democrats have got even about the base number that they need for a lead in early voting, but republican enthusiasm as am in the cow counties is high. it's going to be a narrow victory for either side. i think the most likely is nevada and wisconsin. bill: what is the likely scenario for the president? he's going to three different states today. he's at 201, okay. so if he were to go to wisconsin, ohio, and iowa just...
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Nov 7, 2012
11/12
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but in the other states that you see, nevada colorado florida, and virginia we are still waiting and we are ve open to the results of an concession speech maybe people should stay in line now to win the popular vote as well as the ee lk torllectoral vote. >> we stay in the line anyway. >> we agr stay electoral vote tally according to the projections of the various states are 274 for barack obama and 3 for mitt romney. vb49/49 with only a couple hundred thousand votes between the two candidates. we're going to take a quick break. comments are expected from mitt romney. now with the romney campaign refusing to concede ohio w to happen. we'll keep you posted. we'll be right back. cf:$ >>>arack obama. still up in theve. colorado for president obama. steve schmidt, what do you think? this is one more move towards maybe not needing ohio. >> this is another state whenp& you look at the numbers in colorado see the impacti mitt romney in a very bad way in that state. republicans had high hopes in colorado. >> we're getting all of this now and we still haven't heard from virginia yet and we ha
but in the other states that you see, nevada colorado florida, and virginia we are still waiting and we are ve open to the results of an concession speech maybe people should stay in line now to win the popular vote as well as the ee lk torllectoral vote. >> we stay in the line anyway. >> we agr stay electoral vote tally according to the projections of the various states are 274 for barack obama and 3 for mitt romney. vb49/49 with only a couple hundred thousand votes between the two...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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heidi high votes in nevada. what we're going to see in virginia for example there'll be some romney tim kaine democrat votes. there will be romney claire mccass tell votes in missouri. one thing you'll see there will be structural ticket splitting that will be pretty measurable in a lot of these senate races. that's something we haven't even well that will ager i think well for democrats. >> always a pleasure to speak with both of you. thank you. stay with msnbc for all day coverage of the home stretch to election day. craig melvin continues our live coverage this afternoon at 2:00 eastern followed by a saturday edition of the cycle, news nation with cameron hall and now with alex wagner. nothing to turn your channel for there. >>> well, federal and state officials are taking extreme measures to bring more fuel to the region. trucks are going to distribute free fuel. free that is across the region. and millions of gallons of fuel are now flowing into new york ports. even more is coming. we're going to have a lot
heidi high votes in nevada. what we're going to see in virginia for example there'll be some romney tim kaine democrat votes. there will be romney claire mccass tell votes in missouri. one thing you'll see there will be structural ticket splitting that will be pretty measurable in a lot of these senate races. that's something we haven't even well that will ager i think well for democrats. >> always a pleasure to speak with both of you. thank you. stay with msnbc for all day coverage of...
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Nov 7, 2012
11/12
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there's dean berkeley in nevada. it will be interee the obama orgs can drag sh that state.eople exceed before in nevada.e the big takeaway from tonight in watching the senate is these are different lek electorates showing up i the elected barack backlash against barack obama that gave us the tea party and gavethe control of the bú stos i e leku@ torts show up in younger, less white,liberal. not reelected.hey're running the table or having a ry good night. also at the level in terms of ballot initiatives, in terms equality, is a different e that shoeç up in presidenttions. the big question for building a democraticbama and a leader democratic party is can you years? because then you're looking at>l something that looks like a really stable powerful permanent governing coalitipoliticians. >> chris hayes, thank you very smart and structural point in terms of thinkin about how we decisions. we'r process of decisions. todd joining us with the g mitch mcconnell's motivation.cop for re-election in 2014. he i in aolitical
there's dean berkeley in nevada. it will be interee the obama orgs can drag sh that state.eople exceed before in nevada.e the big takeaway from tonight in watching the senate is these are different lek electorates showing up i the elected barack backlash against barack obama that gave us the tea party and gavethe control of the bú stos i e leku@ torts show up in younger, less white,liberal. not reelected.hey're running the table or having a ry good night. also at the level in terms of ballot...
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Nov 11, 2012
11/12
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were finally counted president obama was re-elected winning ohio, new hampshire, colorado, iowa and nevada. >> tonight in this election you, the american people, reminded us that while our world has been hard, while our journey has been long, we have picked ourselves up. we have fought our way back. and we know in our hearts that for the united states of america the best is yet to come. >> david webb founder or of key part 355 and a write for the "new york daily news" and a political analyst and a professor of sociology at georgetown university and a prolific author. thank you all for being here. this has been an amazing week and a historic week. president obama was re-elected president of the united states. david, tough week for you? >> no, not really. look, it's not. look, our system has worked. americans have spoken out. they've made their choice for the president. that's a peaceful transfer of power, something we do better than any other country in the world. now it comes down to the policy. we're saying mark you've known me a long time. it's what are the policies that are going to fix
were finally counted president obama was re-elected winning ohio, new hampshire, colorado, iowa and nevada. >> tonight in this election you, the american people, reminded us that while our world has been hard, while our journey has been long, we have picked ourselves up. we have fought our way back. and we know in our hearts that for the united states of america the best is yet to come. >> david webb founder or of key part 355 and a write for the "new york daily news" and...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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you can move to the middle of the desert in nevada, ron paul country out there, off the power grid and with your own water well, and when mother nature rips the desert in two with an earthquake or washes away your possessions right down to the last flag, it's your fellow citizens who will come to your rescue. try as we might to wall ourselves off, we are truly in this together. i am a democrat because we're in this together. our political debate is not between big government and small government. it's between a democratic party that supports effective government properly funded and based on compromise and gop extremist vision of minimalist government that leaves you on your own and holds low taxes at its only sacred ideal. the words that vaulted barack obama into the national spotlight were about how we're not red states and blue states, but the united states of america. we were hungry for those words and we still are. i believe that we are better when we work together, that we are our brother and our sister's keeper, that good, effective government is possible and necessary, and that'
you can move to the middle of the desert in nevada, ron paul country out there, off the power grid and with your own water well, and when mother nature rips the desert in two with an earthquake or washes away your possessions right down to the last flag, it's your fellow citizens who will come to your rescue. try as we might to wall ourselves off, we are truly in this together. i am a democrat because we're in this together. our political debate is not between big government and small...